Trade of The Day - CADJPY
CAD: has been reluctant to rally in the face of more supportive developments (narrower spreads, better economic data, firmer crude prices) in recent weeks and now looks reluctant to fall in the face of a broadly firm/firmer USD. Tighter USD liquidity over month/quarter end is evident in the short-term CAD forward points but there is no obvious sign that tensions are excessive (more so than other quarter ends when a squeeze on US rates has been evident). With no data up for release in Canada today expect CAD to take its lead from risk sentiment
JPY: Japan machine tools orders dipped again: The orders of Japan machine tools dipped again by 37.0% year over year in August (Jul: -33.0%) as both domestic and foreign demand saw further decline, adding to signs of continued sluggishness in business investment. Yesterday saw another reduction in the Bank of Japan’s purchases of 5 to 10 year bonds as it attempts to lift yields on longer-dated instruments. The move is intended to tackle a rebound in long-term yields from record lows alongside an increase in expectations that the BoJ will ease monetary policy via another policy rate cut.
From a technical and trading perspective the CADJPY looks poised to extend its upside advance, near term Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) has confirmed additional upside support and the narrow range candles that continue to consolidate above the VWAP within Wednesday's key day reversal lend further bullish conviction as such I will venture long through yesterdays highs targeting a move to test the pivot 83.00 level and equality objective as highlighted in the chart above
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Patrick has been involved in the financial markets for well over a decade as a self-educated professional trader and money manager. Flitting between the roles of market commentator, analyst and mentor, Patrick has improved the technical skills and psychological stance of literally hundreds of traders – coaching them to become savvy market operators!